The McKinsey Quarterly
The McKinsey Quarterly Chart Focus Newsletter
January 2008 | Premium Edition


India’s rising middle class wants a better life

The same furious energy that made India a world-class provider of software and business services is creating a huge urban middle class. By 2025, household spending could more than quadruple, generating the 5th-largest consumer economy on Earth, up from 12th now. About 400 million Indian city dwellers—nearly 100 million more people than the United States has today—will enjoy comfortable living standards. Even India’s most affluent consumers will outnumber not only the comparable segment in China but also the entire current population of Australia.

As a result, the composition of spending has already started to change: discretionary outlays (such as mobile phones) occupy more of India’s shopping basket, even as the absolute sums devoted to necessities, such as food, continue to rise. Above all, consumers will increase the amounts they spend to improve their economic prospects and quality of life—for better health, education, transport, and communications.



This shift has begun at lower income levels than it did elsewhere, so multinationals that compete in the country must keep costs low enough to avoid being squeezed between the desire of so many Indians for a middle-class lifestyle and the realities of their limited budgets. For more about how foreign companies can succeed in this challenging market and domestic ones can defend their turf, read “Tracking the growth of India’s middle class” (August 2007). The article also includes a narrated slideshow and an interactive exhibit.



Also of Interest

Shedding light on the Gulf’s middle class
February 2007
A recent survey illuminates the hopes, fears, and expectations of the hitherto little-known middle classes of the GCC states: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.

The value of China’s emerging middle class
June 2006
During the next 20 years, a huge middle class with enormous spending power will emerge in China’s cities. As incomes rise, spending patterns will change.
Winning the Indian consumer
September 2005
Multinationals that successfully adapt their products to the peculiarities of India’s market will enjoy a big advantage.

Marketing to China’s consumers
December 2004
Chinese companies have learned a great deal from multinationals operating in their country. Now it’s time for foreigners to learn from them.


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