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Featured Risk, Corporate Risk Article, prediction markets google video best buy crowdsourcing

November 2007 

Betting on prediction markets

How companies such as Google and Best Buy gather the collected wisdom of customers and employees to better predict future events.

Includes: Video

Recent Thinking

The Archive

2004

2003

2000

  • June 2000 

    Strategy under uncertainty

    The traditional approach to strategy requires precise predictions and thus often leads executives to underestimate uncertainty. This can be downright dangerous. A four-level framework can help.

1998

  • August 1998 

    Making real options real

    Most applications of option theory have been oversimplifled. What happens when options generate more options as well as cashflows? Here is a second-year course on compound options.

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