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The value of China's emerging middle class

Demographic shifts and a burgeoning economy will unleash a huge wave of consumer spending in urban China.

JUNE 2006 • Diana Farrell, Ulrich A. Gersch, and Elizabeth Stephenson

Health Care, Strategy & Analysis Article, China's middle class

In This Article

As China's economy has soared at consistently astonishing rates, many global companies have focused on serving the country's most affluent urban customers. When these well-off urbanites were the only consumers with significant disposable income,1 this strategy of skimming the cream from the top made sense. But new research by the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) highlights the emergence of a far larger, more complex segment—the urban middle class, whose spending power2 will soon redefine the Chinese market (see sidebar, "About the research"). While some companies are already focusing on the evolution of this new class, many others have yet to broaden their vision and thus risk missing a significant opportunity.

The lure of China's urban-affluent segment is easy to understand. These consumers earn more than 100,000 renminbi (about $12,500) a year3 and command 500 billion renminbi—nearly 10 percent of urban disposable income4—despite accounting for just 1 percent of the total population. They consume globally branded luxury goods voraciously, allowing many companies to succeed in China without significantly modifying their product offerings or the business systems behind them. And since this segment is currently concentrated in the biggest cities, it's easy to serve, both for...

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