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McKinsey Quarterly is the business journal of McKinsey & Company.

featured Corporate Finance, Performance article, Risk Seeing around the corners

October 2009 

Risk: Seeing around the corners

Risk-assessment processes typically expose only the most direct threats facing a company and neglect indirect ones that can have an equal or greater impact.

Recent Thinking

The Archive

2009

  • January 2009 

    Mapping decline and recovery across sectors

    Different sectors enter and emerge from downturns at different times. A look at past recessions suggests how some industries may fare.

    Includes: Audio
  • January 2009 

    Opening up to investors

    Executives need to embrace transparency if they want to help investors make investment decisions. But what should be disclosed?

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

  • October 2002 

    Measuring alliance performance

    Large companies often have dozens of alliances—and little idea how they are performing. Here’s how to evaluate them.

  • October 2002 

    The CFO guide to better pricing

    Cutting costs might get more attention, but improving pricing discipline can add more to the bottom line. Here’s how CFOs can lead the way.

  • June 2002 

    Time for CFOs to step up

    As investors home in on business fundamentals and credible accounting, the CFO’s traditional oversight of planning and performance takes on new urgency.

  • May 2002 

    What makes your stock price go up and down

    Identifying and understanding important individual investors can help corporate executives predict the direction of share prices.

2001

  • October 2001 

    Prophets and profits

    Executives should be wary of bending strategy to suit the wayward long-term earnings forecasts of equity analysts.

  • October 2001 

    Whither globalization?

    The war on terrorism may change the shape and pace of economic integration. But the fundamental human forces that drive it will not be dislodged.

  • August 2001 

    Caveat vendor

    Telecom-equipment suppliers extended billions in vendor financing to aggressive start-ups and wireless companies. Many of them are now struggling or bankrupt—and their suppliers are suffering, too.

2000

  • November 2000 

    Managing expectations for value

    An increasingly significant part of active value management involves generating long-term growth expectations. Unlike traditional performance metrics, growth value maps reflect their importance.

  • June 2000 

    What is the market telling you about your strategy?

    Market expectations are hard for managers to understand and even harder for them to change. But there are ways of doing both that are much more science than black magic.

  • February 2000 

    Growth Down Under

    These days, the share prices of many companies have a giant built-in growth premium. How does this play out among Australia's leading companies?

1998

  • August 1998 

    The expectations treadmill

    Good companies haven’t always been good investments. Total returns to shareholders may not necessarily be a good measure of management performance. How fast is your treadmill moving?

1996

  • February 1996 

    Are you taking the wrong FX risk?

    Focusing on transaction risks may be a mistake. Structural and portfolio risks require more than hedging. Companies need to understand—not just correlate—the relationship between foreign exchange movements and cashflows.

  • February 1996 

    Why derivatives don’t reduce FX risk

    For a hedging program to work, it must increase the “time to ruin.” The goal is to reduce the variability of cash flows. A new study shows that few companies succeed.

1994

  • November 1994 

    Why value value?

    An excerpt from the second edition of Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies.

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